4 Forces of Disruption

These are the four major forces shaping our world, driven mainly by the result of years of tremendous technological, social and medical improvements all around the globe:
1. The Growth of Emerging economies and of their urban middle class, derives in a different global consumer landscape.
2. The Internet of Things: growing automation will increase productivity, and as a side effect it will change jobs for both knowledge and physical work.
3. An aging World: We live longer, and that will bring new market opportunities and new social challenges.
4. Global Connections: supporting an increase in trade, people mobility and markets volatility.

The growth of Internet is the direct engine behind two of this forces and a significant enabler for the other two, making clear that the beginning of the 21st century will be known in History as the Digital Revolution that brought us into a Digital Era.

Disrupting Updates


Amazing. The first night that you decide to sit down to write at your desk since the baby was born, and what do you find?

The brand new HP laptop you purchased a few weeks ago is busy installing 1 out of 10 updates!! God knows how long will it take for it to finish. And I wonder, who the hell told Windows that I wanted to waste my time updating right now!!It is ok, I say to myself. Relax, accept the issues as they come. Go take your iPad and write on it. Like in the old times, when you wrote Digital Renaissance on the tablet. The iPad is always ready and won’t disappoint you. Or so I thought, because the only grayed “waiting” icon on the iPad screen this time is Evernote! Evernote is also updating now, just at the time I wanted to use it! For God’s sake. Who on Earth decided that 22.30 is the time to update software when you don’t ask for it?

Forget the iPad! You have the MacBook Air you use for work. It was not what I wanted, because I can’t unplug the HP while updating and I can not shut the lid down or it won’t update. So I try to put both laptops on the desktop. Not the cleanest desktop, and not the most inspiring minimalist environment. And just when I was about to get inspired after the techie things were resolved…. the baby cried. What a wonderful writing session. I am going now to put him to sleep. I hope I’ll be back in a while….

I am back. It took me a while to sleep the baby. I just checked the Windows update: still 8 out 10. I check the iPad, it sure has finished… but what? Now it is not only Evernote that is waiting, the Chrome icon is also waiting to make sure I can not access Evernote from the web either. Thanks good the Mac Book Air is not part of the conspiracy against me writing tonight, so here I go.

You can only wonder how the computing industry has reached so far as to understand speech, recognize faces, propose automatic improvements to photos and videos, and yet computer still don’t get something as simple as not disrupting you with an update just at the precise time you want to WORK!!

Can’t Windows updates, or Apps updates or Antivirus updates or whatever updates stop interrupting you when you want to work? Is is that difficult to achieve? We already know that Microsoft is a true specialist in that area, in forcing you to update and restart your computer whenever they feel like that, without any respect for want YOU want to do with the computer at that time, whether it is important, critical or simply entertaining to you.

A few minutes have passed, and my iPad crashed. Dead. Now I realize the reason why Evernote and Chrome apps were stuck in Waiting was because I ran out of memory space. It seems 32GB is not enough for my apps, regardless I do not take any pictures of videos with the iPad not to consume the precious Apple tiny storage.

Apple sins with “disrupting updates” are clearly not the same kind as of Microsoft. Apple issues have more to do with being stingy. Very stingy. When smartphones continue increasing their power to run heavy software, when their cameras get more an more megapixels, 4K video, slow-motion video and so on, how can Apple still think that a 700 Euro iPhone 6 can live with a miserable 16 GB? These guys are STINGY, GREEDY.

Apple is sitting on a ton of piles of billions of dollars in cash, and is reportedly strategizing on what to do with it. Let me do one suggestion: Apple please return to please your customers, instead of starting to piss them off!

It is ok that you charge more than double the price of what the equivalent device for competitors charges, but at least do not be MISERABLE with memory.  I am pissed at Apple heavy updates eating my memory, forcing me to delete apps every day and forcing me to ignore the camera in the iPad.

If the next iPad does not come with more of the cheap memory you can buy for a few bucks, I swear this iPad that I was just forced to restart to complete those disrupting updates will be my last. As of today I would rather buy an Android device with TONS of cheap storage so that I can actually do things other than get “disrupted” by updates.

5 Keys to Analytics

Screen Shot 2015-07-20 at 5.53.40 PM

Big Data technologies and Analytics promise to unleash an unprecedented amount and depth of insights from huge unstructured datasets of infinite data. But it is not all about technology. Big data need big brains, and here are 5 keys to structure your analytics designs and experiments:

1. Questions. Without the right question you won’t get the right answer. Knowing what to ask is the #1 key success factor for any analysis.
2. Listening. It is important to acquire and capture all data that might be relevant to your questions. You need to identify all sources and make use of technology to cope with real-time data in any amount that is required to reach your goal.
3. Structure the data, so that you can model it. The model should enable you to pose diverse questions to your dataset, so that you can test different hypothesis.
4. Categorize. Find categories, discover attributes, similarities or abstractions that put a higher layer of structure.
5. Find patterns that will hold true in new situations not yet encountered -> predictive analytics

Analytics is a circular process where the analyst must constantly seek for patterns to set hypothesis and the drive experiments to validate them.

Computer scientists are interested in finding the needle in the haystack.
Social scientist are interested in characterizing the haystack.

Both approaches have a big role in data science and analytics. Data scientist must understand which one of the two they are pursuing when they design the strategy and questions to reach the goal for your analysis.

With so much data to mine for, you need the right tools and methodology to find your gems. Still, big data needs big brains because “a fool with a tool is still a fool.”


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Lean Analytics: Why is Big Data so Disruptive?


Big Data technologies have changed the way we collect data, enabling us to handle infinite amounts of data.

In the old model, with relational databases, you first define the schema for what you collect and then put data into that schema, before analyzing it with BI tools. This is how data warehouse and data mining have been used during decades. You first needed to figure out the question, then you collected the data.


Big Data enables you to change that order. Now, you collect unstructured data first, and you ask the question later.


Modern analytics start by collecting everything, and then formulating your question.

This is what Alistair Croll explains in his book and in the slides and charts above.

The new paradigm allows you to search for the “unknown unknowns.” In analytics, most good answers will lead to another question. Data driven decisions depend on the ability to ask better questions and then ask again.

Implications for Business

In times of rapid market changes, what differentiates your business is how fast you experiment, how fast you can ask iterative questions and measure your progress, and how fast you readjust your business based on your learnings.

These are the principles behind the lean startup, and behind innovation. The most important metric for modern companies becomes “how fast does your organization learn?”

Big Data changes the cost of making data-driven decisions. It is an enabler for a more disciplined and empirical thinking about innovation and strategy.  In that sense, Big Data analytics becomes one more enabler for disruption.

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Why it is time to kill Digital Marketing

You will find more statistics at Statista

Digital Marketing and Digital Communications have been so far the little arms of the Marketing and Communications departments.

It is now time to kill Digital marketing and Digital Communications. Because now everyone in Marketing and Communications should understand Digital. Digital is no longer the rare species. Digital is emerging as the future in Marketing and Communications.

The world has changed. Growing kids ignore the once powerful world of print and traditional media. You too can ignore the chart above at your own risk, but Digital is taking over offline media, very quickly.

Many top executives in Marketing and Communications still come from traditional media. Some of them treat their digital teams as those guys that manage this thing they don’t actually understand well and they don’t actually care much.

Some of them still love press clipping from print papers and magazines as their lens to see the world. They need to change or they will be changed.

As the well-respected spanish newspaper director Pedro J. Ramirez put it: “For news, the future will be digital or won’t be.


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The iPad’s Disruption Of The Windows PC Market

Windows PC vs iPad
Chart via Horace Dediu

Now we can actually confirm that the day the iPad was introduced, Personal Computing changed forever.

Two years earlier, 2008 was the year of the netbook. Analysts would doubt whether Steve Jobs was right to dismiss netbooks when he insisted Apple would never launch one.

And once a gain his genius was spot on. In 2010 the iPad created a new category that made netbooks completely irrelevant. The rise of the netbook signaled a need for light computers with long battery duration and just powerful enough for everyday use. Now we know the answer was not going to be just a smaller PC.

The inevitable growth of broadband pipes and services in the cloud are a perfect fit for tablets, phablets and smartphones to become a more and more frequent replacement of laptops in our daily life. In emerging markets the leapfrog to wireless broadband and mobile computing is a reality. It will only accelerate the trend the chart shows.

Microsoft has a big problem with mobile and tablets. Windows 8 is a compromise to address tablets and desktops, but it is not working neither of them. Microsoft faces disruption in the personal computing space they used to dominate. Compromises have never worked well in face of disruption.

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